Celta Vigo at Rayo Vallecano: our pick
We called Rayo Vallecano at 38%, locked Oct 31, 9:30 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Celta Vigo 0–3 Rayo Vallecano. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 38% is the betting market's own price for Rayo Vallecano: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.8 points toward Rayo Vallecano.
We have no graded calls on Rayo Vallecano yet.
At 38%, a pick like this still loses about 62 times in 100.
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No graded calls on Rayo Vallecano yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano win chance | 38% | 40% |
| Total | 2.5 | 2.5 |
- Pick locked: Rayo Vallecano at 38%.
- Market closed with Rayo Vallecano at 40%, 1.8 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Celta Vigo 0–3 Rayo Vallecano. Right.
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