SMU at Syracuse: our pick
We called SMU at 78%, locked Oct 31, 10:00 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: SMU 27–30 Syracuse. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 78% is the betting market's own price for SMU: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on SMU: 4 right.
At 78%, a pick like this still loses about 22 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 31, 3:23 PM ET at Q4 2:40: SMU 89% to win, called at 78%.
Call 78% Alert 89% at Q4 2:40Last live read 98% (Q4 0:27)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 4
- SMU avg margin
- +13.8
Only 4 graded games on SMU so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: SMU's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| SMU win chance | 78% | 78% |
- Pick locked: SMU at 78%.
- Market closed with SMU at 78%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q4 2:40: SMU 89% to win, called at 78%.
- Final: SMU 27–30 Syracuse. Wrong.
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