Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors: our pick
We called the Golden State Warriors at 57%, locked Nov 2, 8:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Phoenix Suns 113–116 Golden State Warriors. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for the Golden State Warriors: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.1 points away from the Golden State Warriors.
Our last 9 graded calls on the Golden State Warriors: 4 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Nov 3, 12:21 AM ET at Q4 7:59: Golden State Warriors 79% to win, called at 57%.
Call 57% Alert 79% at 7:59 - 4thLast live read 88% (5.1 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 40%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 5
- Golden State Warriors avg margin
- +9.0
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Golden State Warriors's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors win chance | 57% | 56% |
| Golden State Warriors spread | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Total | 227.5 | 227.5 |
- Pick locked: the Golden State Warriors at 57%.
- Market closed with the Golden State Warriors at 56%, 1.1 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q4 7:59: the Golden State Warriors 79% to win, called at 57%.
- Final: Phoenix Suns 113–116 Golden State Warriors. Right.
More on these teams
Golden State Warriors
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