The record · NBA

Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs: our pick

Our pick: the San Antonio Spurs at 85%, locked Nov 4, 7:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Not played yet.

What would a bet on this game pay, and what would it risk? →

Why this pick?

Our 85% is the betting market's own price for the San Antonio Spurs: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since our pick locked shows up then.

Our last 9 graded picks on the San Antonio Spurs: 8 right.

At 85%, a pick like this still loses about 15 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

More on these teams

San Antonio Spurs

Dallas Mavericks

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Entry #1296 in the chain. Check this pick yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every pick, graded →