The record · NFL

Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns: our pick

We called the Cleveland Browns at 58%, locked Aug 22, 12:15 PM ET, less than an hour before kickoff.

Final: Buffalo Bills 31–7 Cleveland Browns. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 58% is the betting market's own price for the Cleveland Browns: 11 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

We have no graded calls on the Cleveland Browns yet.

At 58%, a pick like this still loses about 42 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

More on these teams

Cleveland Browns

Buffalo Bills

Fingerprint

115113a2856097aa4c30adef44ef56bf7b43bcb7eee55f9c006669e590581ec7

Entry #6 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →