The record · NFL
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans: our pick
We called the Buffalo Bills at 51%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 12 days before kickoff.
Final: Buffalo Bills 36–31 Houston Texans. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 51% is the betting market's own price for the Buffalo Bills: 29 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.4 points toward the Buffalo Bills, and the spread went from -1 to +1.5.
Our last 2 graded calls on the Buffalo Bills: 1 right.
At 51%, a pick like this still loses about 49 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 2
- Buffalo Bills avg margin
- +12.5
Only 2 graded games on Buffalo Bills so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Buffalo Bills's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills win chance | 51% | 52% |
| Buffalo Bills spread | -1 | +1.5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 41.5 |
- Pick locked: the Buffalo Bills at 51%.
- Market closed with the Buffalo Bills at 52%, 1.4 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Buffalo Bills 36–31 Houston Texans. Right.
More on these teams
Houston Texans
Fingerprint
a236638387077566b1bb18e5314992fc3eabf8df196def3b39b6e511ead9e949