The record · NFL
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts: our pick
We called the Houston Texans at 52%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 26 days before kickoff.
Final: Houston Texans 17–19 Indianapolis Colts. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 52% is the betting market's own price for the Houston Texans: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.8 points toward the Houston Texans, and the spread went from -1.5 to +1.5.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Houston Texans: 1 right.
At 52%, a pick like this still loses about 48 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 33%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 3
- Houston Texans avg margin
- -7.3
Only 3 graded games on Houston Texans so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Houston Texans's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans win chance | 52% | 54% |
| Houston Texans spread | -1.5 | +1.5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 42.5 |
- Pick locked: the Houston Texans at 52%.
- Market closed with the Houston Texans at 54%, 1.8 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Houston Texans 17–19 Indianapolis Colts. Wrong.
More on these teams
Indianapolis Colts
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