The record · NFL
Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: our pick
We called the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 70%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 19 days before kickoff.
Final: Cleveland Browns 23–19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 70% is the betting market's own price for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 7.1 points toward the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2 right.
At 70%, a pick like this still loses about 30 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers avg margin
- -8.0
Only 3 graded games on Tampa Bay Buccaneers so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Tampa Bay Buccaneers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers win chance | 70% | 77% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers spread | -6.5 | — |
| Total | 42.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 70%.
- Market closed with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 77%, 7.1 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Cleveland Browns 23–19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Wrong.
More on these teams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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