The record · NBA

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors: our pick

Our pick: the Golden State Warriors at 61%, locked Nov 5, 8:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Final: Miami Heat 100–120 Golden State Warriors. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 61% is the betting market's own price for the Golden State Warriors: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The market closed where our pick locked.

Our last 10 graded picks on the Golden State Warriors: 5 right.

At 61%, a pick like this still loses about 39 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alert sent Nov 5, 11:27 PM ET at Q3 10:59: Golden State Warriors 78% to win, picked at 61%.

That was the moment to check the cash-out offer at your own sportsbook. Whether to take it was yours to decide; we never hold bets or money.

Golden State Warriors win chance, lock to final
50%

Pick 61% Alert 78% at 10:59 - 3rdLast live read 100% (31.8 - 4th)

More on these teams

Golden State Warriors

Miami Heat

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Entry #1357 in the chain. Check this pick yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every pick, graded →