The record · NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers: our pick

We called the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 53%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 54 days before kickoff.

Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 43–13 Carolina Panthers. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 11.5 points away from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Our last 8 graded calls on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 3 right.

At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Cash-out alert sent Oct 25, 1:21 PM ET at Q1 5:44: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 73% to win, called at 53%.

That was the moment to check the cash-out offer at your own sportsbook. Whether to take it was yours to decide; we never hold bets or money.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win chance, call to final
50%

Call 53% Alert 73% at Q1 5:44Last live read 100% (Q4 2:00)

More on these teams

Carolina Panthers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Entry #41 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →