The record · NFL
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers: our pick
We called the Green Bay Packers at 75%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 58 days before kickoff.
Final: Carolina Panthers 19–27 Green Bay Packers. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 75% is the betting market's own price for the Green Bay Packers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 15.4 points away from the Green Bay Packers.
Our last 8 graded calls on the Green Bay Packers: 7 right.
At 75%, a pick like this still loses about 25 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 29, 9:37 PM ET at Q2 1:46: Green Bay Packers 93% to win, called at 75%.
Call 75% Alert 93% at Q2 1:46Last live read 99% (Q4 0:22)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Green Bay Packers avg margin
- +2.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Green Bay Packers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers win chance | 75% | 59% |
| Green Bay Packers spread | -7 | — |
| Total | 45.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Green Bay Packers at 75%.
- Market closed with the Green Bay Packers at 59%, 15.4 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 1:46: the Green Bay Packers 93% to win, called at 75%.
- Final: Carolina Panthers 19–27 Green Bay Packers. Right.
More on these teams
Green Bay Packers
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