The record · NFL

Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots: our pick

We called the New England Patriots at 53%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 68 days before kickoff.

Not played yet.

What would a bet on this game pay, and what would it risk? →

What would the cash-out button say during this game? Try Calculator+ →

Why this pick?

Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the New England Patriots: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 8 graded calls on the New England Patriots: 6 right.

At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

More on these teams

New England Patriots

Green Bay Packers

Fingerprint

04c44741943f45db19f006342ae069111b598e28610ae1ff73c769d84a223d5d

Entry #44 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →