The record · NFL

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins: our pick

We called the New England Patriots at 74%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 61 days before kickoff.

Not played yet.

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Why this pick?

Our 74% is the betting market's own price for the New England Patriots: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 8 graded calls on the New England Patriots: 6 right.

At 74%, a pick like this still loses about 26 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

More on these teams

Miami Dolphins

New England Patriots

Fingerprint

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Entry #56 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →