The record · NFL
New York Jets at New England Patriots: our pick
We called the New England Patriots at 79%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 47 days before kickoff.
Final: New York Jets 19–26 New England Patriots. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 79% is the betting market's own price for the New England Patriots: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 2.8 points away from the New England Patriots.
Our last 6 graded calls on the New England Patriots: 4 right.
At 79%, a pick like this still loses about 21 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 18, 2:34 PM ET at Q2 0:14: New England Patriots 97% to win, called at 79%.
Call 79% Alert 97% at Q2 0:14Last live read 98% (Q4 0:32)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- New England Patriots avg margin
- +3.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: New England Patriots's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots win chance | 79% | 76% |
| New England Patriots spread | -10 | — |
| Total | 42.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the New England Patriots at 79%.
- Market closed with the New England Patriots at 76%, 2.8 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 0:14: the New England Patriots 97% to win, called at 79%.
- Final: New York Jets 19–26 New England Patriots. Right.
More on these teams
New England Patriots
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