The record · NFL
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions: our pick
We called the Detroit Lions at 57%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 54 days before kickoff.
Final: Green Bay Packers 17–20 Detroit Lions. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for the Detroit Lions: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 8.2 points toward the Detroit Lions.
Our last 6 graded calls on the Detroit Lions: 4 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 25, 4:47 PM ET at Q1 7:00: Detroit Lions 76% to win, called at 57%.
Call 57% Alert 76% at Q1 7:00Last live read 51% (Q4 1:09)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Detroit Lions avg margin
- +3.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Detroit Lions's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions win chance | 57% | 65% |
| Detroit Lions spread | -2.5 | — |
| Total | 49.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Detroit Lions at 57%.
- Market closed with the Detroit Lions at 65%, 8.2 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 7:00: the Detroit Lions 76% to win, called at 57%.
- Final: Green Bay Packers 17–20 Detroit Lions. Right.
More on these teams
Detroit Lions
Fingerprint
6a48356c922fdf312384b1572957293c61f646a8b4e70426e4232a81dd365278