The record · NFL
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers: our pick
We called the Detroit Lions at 60%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 33 days before kickoff.
Final: Detroit Lions 26–32 Carolina Panthers. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 60% is the betting market's own price for the Detroit Lions: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 4.1 points toward the Detroit Lions.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Detroit Lions: 3 right.
At 60%, a pick like this still loses about 40 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 4, 8:33 PM ET at Q1 12:05: Detroit Lions 68% to win, called at 60%.
- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- Detroit Lions avg margin
- +1.8
Only 4 graded games on Detroit Lions so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Detroit Lions's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions win chance | 60% | 64% |
| Detroit Lions spread | -3 | — |
| Total | 46.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Detroit Lions at 60%.
- Market closed with the Detroit Lions at 64%, 4.1 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 12:05: the Detroit Lions 68% to win, called at 60%.
- Final: Detroit Lions 26–32 Carolina Panthers. Wrong.
More on these teams
Carolina Panthers
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