The record · NFL
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears: our pick
We called the Chicago Bears at 64%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 19 days before kickoff.
Final: Minnesota Vikings 9–3 Chicago Bears. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 64% is the betting market's own price for the Chicago Bears: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 2.0 points toward the Chicago Bears, and the spread went from -3.5 to -4.5.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Chicago Bears: 1 right.
At 64%, a pick like this still loses about 36 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 33%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 3
- Chicago Bears avg margin
- +4.3
Only 3 graded games on Chicago Bears so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Chicago Bears's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears win chance | 64% | 66% |
| Chicago Bears spread | -3.5 | -4.5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 47.5 |
- Pick locked: the Chicago Bears at 64%.
- Market closed with the Chicago Bears at 66%, 2.0 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Minnesota Vikings 9–3 Chicago Bears. Wrong.
More on these teams
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