The record · NFL
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns: our pick
We called the Baltimore Ravens at 70%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 47 days before kickoff.
Final: Baltimore Ravens 10–13 Cleveland Browns. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 70% is the betting market's own price for the Baltimore Ravens: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 9.8 points away from the Baltimore Ravens.
Our last 7 graded calls on the Baltimore Ravens: 5 right.
At 70%, a pick like this still loses about 30 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 18, 1:21 PM ET at Q1 8:11: Baltimore Ravens 85% to win, called at 70%.
Call 70% Alert 85% at Q1 8:11Last live read 52% (Q4 0:22)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Baltimore Ravens avg margin
- +5.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Baltimore Ravens's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens win chance | 70% | 60% |
| Baltimore Ravens spread | -6.5 | — |
| Total | 42.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Baltimore Ravens at 70%.
- Market closed with the Baltimore Ravens at 60%, 9.8 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 8:11: the Baltimore Ravens 85% to win, called at 70%.
- Final: Baltimore Ravens 10–13 Cleveland Browns. Wrong.
More on these teams
Cleveland Browns
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