The record · NFL
Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers: our pick
We called the San Francisco 49ers at 68%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 48 days before kickoff.
Final: Washington Commanders 17–23 San Francisco 49ers. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 68% is the betting market's own price for the San Francisco 49ers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 11.0 points toward the San Francisco 49ers.
Our last 5 graded calls on the San Francisco 49ers: 3 right.
At 68%, a pick like this still loses about 32 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 19, 8:29 PM ET at Q1 10:53: San Francisco 49ers 84% to win, called at 68%.
Call 68% Alert 84% at Q1 10:53Last live read 99% (Q4 0:21)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- San Francisco 49ers avg margin
- +12.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: San Francisco 49ers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers win chance | 68% | 79% |
| San Francisco 49ers spread | -5.5 | — |
| Total | 50.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the San Francisco 49ers at 68%.
- Market closed with the San Francisco 49ers at 79%, 11.0 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 10:53: the San Francisco 49ers 84% to win, called at 68%.
- Final: Washington Commanders 17–23 San Francisco 49ers. Right.
More on these teams
San Francisco 49ers
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