The record · NFL
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders: our pick
We called the Kansas City Chiefs at 68%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 33 days before kickoff.
Final: Kansas City Chiefs 30–27 Las Vegas Raiders. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 68% is the betting market's own price for the Kansas City Chiefs: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.5 points away from the Kansas City Chiefs.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Kansas City Chiefs: 4 right.
At 68%, a pick like this still loses about 32 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 4, 6:46 PM ET at Q4 14:50: Kansas City Chiefs 80% to win, called at 68%.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 4
- Kansas City Chiefs avg margin
- +9.3
Only 4 graded games on Kansas City Chiefs so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Kansas City Chiefs's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs win chance | 68% | 67% |
| Kansas City Chiefs spread | -5.5 | — |
| Total | 42.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Kansas City Chiefs at 68%.
- Market closed with the Kansas City Chiefs at 67%, 1.5 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q4 14:50: the Kansas City Chiefs 80% to win, called at 68%.
- Final: Kansas City Chiefs 30–27 Las Vegas Raiders. Right.
More on these teams
Las Vegas Raiders
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